Monday, October 13, 2014

IVF By The Numbers

There seems to be a misconception about how this "surrogacy thing" works and how IVF works in general.  People generally seem to think that since we went through an embryo transfer that we will have a baby in approximately 40 weeks.  Sadly, this is not the case.  This whole "surrogacy thing" was a gamble, just like IVF is a gamble.  And, it usually doesn't work the first time, or the second time or even the third time for many.

I have included the 2012 ART national success rates.  Please pay attention to the line that lists the number of live births per transfer.  You will see that for women under 35, this is 47.1%.  Meaning that for each transfer, less than half will result in a baby (also note that this is higher than the success rate for IVF cycle - some cycles are cancelled or result in no embryos making it to transfer).  This percentage goes down to 37.9% at 35-37 and 28.5% for 38-40.  We only have 3 transfers worth, that only adds up to 85.5% - leaving a 14.5% chance of nothing......

Fresh Embryos From Non-Donor Oocytes

<35 nbsp="" p="">35-37 38-40 41-42 42
38662 19599 18410 10167 6224
46.7 37.8 29.7 19.8 8.6
40.7 31.3 22.2 11.8 3.9
(40.2 - 41.1) (30.7 - 32.0) (21.6 - 22.8) (11.2 - 12.4) (3.5 - 4.4)
43.4 34.5 25.4 14.0 5.0
47.1 37.9 28.5 16.3 6.1
14.8 8.9 3.0 1.2 0.6
6.3 9.2 12.7 15.8 21.5
37.5 27.6 18.4 9.8 3.8
1.9 2.0 2.4 2.9 2.9
29.5 25.0 20.3 13.4 9.0
1.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4

51.4
48.6
44.4
37.5
28.2
19.4

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